District report card · CMAS 2024–2026

District 49Draft

Large city district · about 4,814 students tested a year in grades 3–8 · 11,980 students in district-run schools (K–12)
−2.2
points vs. what its
demographics predict

Based on its families’ demographics, District 49 would be expected to rank #24 of 105 Colorado districts, with 47% of students meeting or exceeding expectations in English and 38% in math. It actually ranks #27, with 46% and 35%. That is 2.2 percentage points below what its demographics predict, which ranks it #59 of 105 on performance vs. demographics.

#59 of 105 statewide · likely #47–#67#18 of 21 large districts#12 of 14 city districts#6 of 9 among its most similar districts

Where demographics would place it, and where it lands

Statewide rank, English and math combined
Hollow: predicted from demographics. Filled: actual results. #1 is the highest share of students meeting expectations.
#1 (best)#25#50#75#105Predicted #24Actual #27
SubjectExpectedActualOver/under (pts)Rank: predicted → actualRank vs. demographics
English47%46%−1.8 ±0.7#24 → #28#55
Math38%35%−2.7 ±2.5#25 → #28#61

Met or exceeded expectations on CMAS, grades 3–8, 2024–2026 combined. District results include district-run neighborhood, choice and magnet schools, but not charter or online schools. ± is a 90% range for normal year-to-year swings.

Over time

Met or exceeded expectations, by year
Dashed: expected from demographics.
20%30%40%50%60%202420252026English 46%Math 38%
Growth
CDE median growth percentile, 2024–2026: how much students improved compared with students statewide who started at the same level. 50 is typical.
English growth
49
median growth percentile
Math growth
49
median growth percentile

Growth depends much less on family background than test scores do, so it is the closer measure of what schools add in a given year.

Compared with its most similar districts

Over/under, percentage points (English and math)
The eight districts closest on parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education and size. Blue: above prediction; red: below; gray: within normal swings. Lines: 90% range.
Mesa County Valley 51+4.7St Vrain Valley RE1J+2.2Widefield 3+1.7Jefferson County R-1−0.9Durango 9-R−1.1District 49−2.2Johnstown-Milliken RE-5J−2.4Weld RE-4−4.1Thompson R2-J−7.0

Who it serves

The measures behind the prediction
Bars: this district. Black tick: Colorado average across ranked districts, weighted by students.
Parents with a bachelor’s degree+46%Free/reduced-price lunch41%English learners5%Students with IEPs14%

Parents’ education: parents of public-school children (Census ACS 2019–2023, NCES tabulation). For context, not in the prediction: all adults with a bachelor’s degree+ 42%; median household income $112,310.

Its schools

Neighborhood schools
Compared with Colorado schools serving similar students (income and education of the area, free/reduced lunch, English learners, special education). Points are CMAS scale-score points vs. expected, 2024–2026.
SchoolMet/exceeded
Eng / Math
Vs. expected
English
Vs. expected
Math
Growth
Evans Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–542% / 38%+7.2+10.456
Ridgeview Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–555% / 53%+5.9+6.465
Remington Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–548% / 52%+3.3+8.851
Springs Ranch Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–552% / 49%+2.9+5.544
Stetson Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–547% / 47%−1.0+2.961
Odyssey Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–540% / 32%−1.0−0.452
Meridian Ranch Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–559% / 54%−2.8−1.842
Falcon Elementary School of TechnologyElementary · grades 3–537% / 32%−4.2−1.650
Woodmen Hills Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–549% / 44%−4.7−2.058
Inspiration View Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–550% / 42%−8.3−5.951
Bennett Ranch Elementary SchoolElementary · grades 3–541% / 31%−10.7−12.343
ALLIESElementary · grades 3–514% / —−23.1−25.350
Horizon Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–841% / 27%+2.2+2.151
Skyview Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–845% / 29%−3.2−4.950
Falcon Middle SchoolMiddle · grades 6–846% / 24%−8.1−14.548
Not compared with neighborhood schools
Charter, choice, magnet, online and alternative schools don’t serve a neighborhood, so they aren’t compared with schools serving similar areas. Charter and online schools are also left out of the district results above.

How to read this

The expected result comes from a statistical model fit across all ranked Colorado districts: parents’ education, free/reduced lunch, English learners and special education explain about 90% of the differences in district results. Over/under is what remains — the part the demographics don’t account for, which includes the schools themselves but also anything else those measures miss. Each district’s expected value is predicted from the other districts. Full method and caveats.